Niels Daan and three colleagues have published a new paper challenging prophecies that an apocalyse in world fisheries is  imminent  (Available here) The prediction by Worm et al. (2006) that by 2048 all commercially exploited stocks will have collapsed through continuing overexploitation became a focal point for public and media concern about the state of world fisheries. Indeed it received saturation media coverage around the world and is still widely cited as reflecting the status of world fisheries. Several fundamental objections have been raised against the methods underlying this prediction. In 2009, Worms collaborated with some of his critics in a substantial revision in  the interpretation of stock-status development  (Worm et al., 2009). Daan et al (2011) have added their voices to the criticism of the methodology of the original analysis. They concluded that the method is both technically and conceptually flawed, and that any predictions derived from it represent flawed prophecies.

TAGS: fisheries, apocalyse, sustainable, overfishing, Boris Worms, Niels Daan

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Last Updated ( Saturday, 23 July 2011 17:12 )